Posts

How many parameters does GPT-5 have?

r
stats
llm
ai
gpt
One of the many arguments I’ve been having with o3 recently was on how many parameters GPT models have. It’s quite often that I want to benchmark open source models against…
Aug 27, 2025

Introduction to Generalised Linear Models with Prussian Horse Kicks

r
stats
glms
Time to finally patch a hole in the leaky roof of my knowledge: what are Generalised Linear Models anyway?
Aug 3, 2025

Ultra-processed food: an AI polling simulation

food
uk
r
ai
llm
surveys
There’s a little drip drip drip of scare stories about ultra-processed food (UPF) a phrase that I’d never heard until this year. I’m starting to get worried. Is everyone…
Jun 23, 2025

How fast Carlos Sainz Jr learns

f1
r
The MAJOR story of F1’s 2025 season is of course the match-up between Sainz and Albon (sorry, did something happen at Ferrari?). Albon’s current level is quite a mystery…
Mar 14, 2025

T. rex size distributions

dinosaurs
r
I ought to be spending this weekend working on a risk intelligence thing for work, but I’ve stumbled across something that brings my inner child immense joy and such things…
Feb 15, 2025

Gaussian Processes in R

gaussian
bayesian
stan
r
I stumbled upon Gaussian Processes when looking into how the MIPRO prompt optimisation algorithm works and felt compelled to learn more about it. It’s a very nifty…
Jan 25, 2025

Can we predict who wins the Traitors with an R simulation?

traitors
monte carlo
r
Three years in, I am still absolutely hooked on the Traitors (the TV series). Sure, yes, they stretch ten minutes of gameplay into sixty minutes of “you know I love you…
Jan 19, 2025

Latent F1 team and driver performance: fun with Bayesian models

bayesian
r
f1
stan
For a bit of fun, let’s try and model the performance of F1 drivers and constructors in the 2024 season using Bayesian models. The aim is to more to learn about using Stan th…
Dec 27, 2024

 

Using Stan from R

bayesian
r
stan
I’ve been trying to get the hang of Bayesian models with Stan. One of the hurdles has been using Stan from R, so in this post I’m jotting down what I’ve learned (mostly the…
Dec 26, 2024

Importance Sampling

bayesian
r
The aim of this post is to teach myself basic Bayesian methods. I’ll set up a toy example problem and solve it.
Dec 23, 2024

 

Working with (around) proxies

N.B. This article is ten years old and certainly does not represent best practices in the 2020s.
Jan 1, 2015
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