Posts – Chris Bowdon

How fast Carlos Sainz Jr learns

f1

r

The MAJOR story of F1’s 2025 season is of course the match-up between Sainz and Albon (sorry, did something happen at Ferrari?). Albon’s current level is quite a mystery…

T. rex size distributions

dinosaurs

r

I ought to be spending this weekend working on a risk intelligence thing for work, but I’ve stumbled across something that brings my inner child immense joy and such things…

Gaussian Processes in R

gaussian

bayesian

stan

r

I stumbled upon Gaussian Processes when looking into how the MIPRO prompt optimisation algorithm works and felt compelled to learn more about it. It’s a very nifty…

Can we predict who wins the Traitors with an R simulation?

traitors

monte carlo

r

Three years in, I am still absolutely hooked on the Traitors (the TV series). Sure, yes, they stretch ten minutes of gameplay into sixty minutes of “you know I love you…

Latent F1 team and driver performance: fun with Bayesian models

bayesian

r

f1

stan

For a bit of fun, let’s try and model the performance of F1 drivers and constructors in the 2024 season using Bayesian models. The aim is to more to learn about using Stan th…

Using Stan from R

bayesian

r

stan

I’ve been trying to get the hang of Bayesian models with Stan. One of the hurdles has been using Stan from R, so in this post I’m jotting down what I’ve learned (mostly the…

Importance Sampling

bayesian

r

The aim of this post is to teach myself basic Bayesian methods. I’ll set up a toy example problem and solve it.